In advance of their upcoming book conference, Digital Book World has made “Ten Bold Predictions for Ebooks and Digital Publishing in 2013.” Check out the predictions below and click over to the article to read why they think all or most of these things will go down.
1. More consolidation. (i.e. Mergers and Acquisitions)
2. 2013 will be the year of the enhanced ebook.
3. The $0 Kindle.
4. More publishers will start selling digital-rights-management-free ebooks (DRM-free) and directly to consumers.
5. Ebook market-share growth will slow.
6. Ebook marketing will be completely re-thought.
7. There will be a major privacy breach at a library that involves ebooks and reader information.
8. By the end of 2013, 65% of U.S. children will have access to an e-reading device.
9. Educational publisher Cengage will default on its bonds and be combined with McGraw-Hill.
10. Barnes & Noble share price will dip below $10.00.
What immediately jumps out at me is Prediction 5 which is pretty bold coming from Digital Book World. I question Prediction 7 given that many American libraries are still using the Dewey Decimal System. As for the business/financial predictions, I hope they’re wrong. I hate to think of any business defaulting or dipping because it often precedes layoffs and the like. Either way, 10 days from now, we’ll have a year to see if any of their predictions pan out.